I sat down to the computer to write blog posts on Thursday evening but decided to quickly look at Facebook. The local radio station had this graphic up…
I decided I wanted to read that. UGH. I don’t want snow. FYI. I live on the live south and west of Decorah.
Did that graphic say 4-7+ inches?? Oh no. That could completely change my day. I could end up with kiddos here.
We have had wonderful weather this week. The kids have been outside playing. I’ve gotten back to walking with my friend. It’s truly been just the pick-me-up I’ve needed.
It’s been so nice I’ve been tempted to clean up the plants and do some spring prep work…but, I’m an Iowa and before that, I was a Minnesotan. I know better than to think this is real spring. This graphic with potential snow proved it…or did it??
I went to the page with the forecast and this is what it said:
“The snow threat continues to increase for northeast Iowa and southwest & central Wisconsin late tonight into Friday. This threat has shifted slightly further north than this morning. Due to uncertainty on how much rain will mix in with the snow, there will be a wide range of potential snow amounts. While the best estimate forecast calls for 1-4 inches of snow in this band, there is a slight chance that some areas see 4-7+ inches of snow, or conversely, little to no snow. Elevation will also impact snowfall amounts. River valleys will likely see lighter totals than the ridge tops. In addition, warm road surfaces could also impact snow amounts. Any snow which falls will be heavy and wet. Bottom-line, stay turned for additional forecast updates.”
Hmm. I don’t understand. From what I read I could get 4-7+ inches or nothing. Interesting.
I sent the forecast to my kids in our family chat group. Karl wrote back:
“A summary of that forecast:
There will be precipitation or else there won’t be.
This has been the weather.”
I want to give forecasters the benefit of the doubt but this is a bit of a range. I think the best forecast might have been simply, “Bottom-line, stay turned for additional forecast updates.”
There was nothing to do but wait and see in the morning. I guess I’d either have snow or I wouldn’t. And… we got
Rain. There wasn’t even a flake that I saw overnight.
About noon today the weather was this…
Can you see the snow in the picture?
The snow never stuck. The roads are all fine.
I know predicting precipitation can be hard this time of year as there are so many factors that play into it all…but this forecast was a little comical to me. Sometimes I wonder if forecaster hype the forecasts so that they can get people to watch the news. Who knows?
What’s the weather where you are? Any 4-7+ or maybe possible nothing forecasts for you??